Taass, we just changed the tour for College Fuck Fest, so I'm sort of on top of what you're talking about here.
I realize that webmasters create galleries that look similar to the tours they are sending to. We kept this in mind for CFF and didn't do a *major* change other than the colors and the layout. The basic look of the site is still very similar to the original one. We wouldn't have done it this way if we didn't test it first. The new tour is increasing signups from galleries old and new.
But I'd agree that a radical change would affect traffic arriving from old style gallery pages.
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